“Have we hit bottom yet?” I think I get asked this question thirty times a week. If you’re asking, then the answer is probably NO, not yet. But, that said… blink and you’ll miss it! It’s not a complicated idea, but the bottoms will be localized, just as all real estate is local. Tucson’s University areas, historic districts, Downtown… these were the least decimated and will be the first to recover, in my opinion. Out by the casino… not so good.
What if you buy something wonderful, priced very reasonably, even a screaming deal….and then prices drop a smidgeon more? Well, if you’ve taken a loan on the property, and buy now, you probably are getting the advantage of unheard of lows in interest rates.
Personally, I would rather spend a smidge more on a property at 4.5% than get another ten thousand off, but pay an interest ate of 6%. Here’s the math: I buy a property for $185,000 and qualify for an FHA loan with 3.5% down payment, for 30 years.
At 4.5% , my loan works out to a payment for principal & interest of $904. If I’d waited, and interest rates had edged up quite a bit to 6.5% interest, that same loan payment would be $1128. And that $224 difference each month is $2,688 a year, ($26,880 more over 10 years! and $80,000 if I keep the loan for the full 30 years!) So keep an eye on rates. And don’t forego buying with an incredible rate and low pricing while you wait for the elusive “bottom.”
Experts say there are several signs of the BOTTOM. Here are a few to think about:
- inventory starts to reduce
- sales volume picks up
- you hear friends, colleagues, neighbors, people at a party….starting to talk about their buys
- prices finally seem to stabilize a bit
- it’s easier to get financing
Don’t wait too long. If you are interested in buying a home or investment property, call me and I promise you, we’ll talk honestly. I would love your business, and I am going to guide you with the same wisdom and advice I’d use for my own purchases. I promise.